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Brief ReportBrief Report

Telephonic Follow-up and the Risk of Death in Ambulatory Patients with COVID-19

Héctor Raúl Vargas-Sánchez, Juan Carlos Tomás-López, Verónica Álvarez-Medina, Luisa Estela Gil-Velázquez, Hortensia Vega-Vega, Alejandro Alarcón-López, Rafael Pérez-Villegas, Claudia María Carbajal-García, Eugenia del Rocío Rivera-Tello, Manuel Cervantes-Ocampo, Célida Duque-Molina and Iván de Jesús Ascencio-Montiel
The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine February 2023, 36 (1) 164-169; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3122/jabfm.2022.220214R1
Héctor Raúl Vargas-Sánchez
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS
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Juan Carlos Tomás-López
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Verónica Álvarez-Medina
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Luisa Estela Gil-Velázquez
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Hortensia Vega-Vega
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA, PhD
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Alejandro Alarcón-López
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MPH
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Rafael Pérez-Villegas
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Claudia María Carbajal-García
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Eugenia del Rocío Rivera-Tello
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA, MPH
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Manuel Cervantes-Ocampo
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS
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Célida Duque-Molina
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA, PhD
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Iván de Jesús Ascencio-Montiel
From División de Medicina Familiar, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Hospital de Ginecoobstetricia con Medicina Familiar 60, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Coordinación de Atención Integral a la Salud en el Primer Nivel de Atención, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; Dirección de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico; and Coordinación de Vigilancia Epidemiológica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
MD, MS, MA
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Abstract

Background: Primary care level close monitoring of mild COVID-19 patients has shown to provide a risk reduction in hospitalization and death. We aimed to compare the risk of all-cause death among COVID-19 ambulatory patients who received and did not receive telephonic follow-up in primary health care settings.

Methods: A secondary database analysis, 2-group comparative study, was conducted with data from the medical information systems of the Mexican Institute of Social Security. A total of 1,498,808 ambulatory patients aged 20 years old and over and with laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 by PCR or rapid antigen test were analyzed. Of them, 535,898 (35.8%) where followed by telephonic calls. The cases were attended from October 14, 2020, to April 10, 2022. Death incidence was evaluated. To assess the association between death and telephonic follow-up we calculated risk ratio using a multivariate logistic model.

Results: Case fatality rate was 1.29% in the patients who received telephonic follow-up and 2.95% in the cases who did not receive phone calls. Medical history of chronic kidney disease, COPD, cardiovascular disease, tobacco consumption and diabetes were associated with increased risk of death. In the multivariate model, telephonic follow-up was associated with lower risk of all-cause death, with an adjusted risk ratio of 0.61 (95% confidence interval from 0.59, 0.64).

Conclusion: Our data suggest that telephonic follow-up is associated with a risk of death reduction in adult outpatients with mild COVID-19, in the context of a multimodal strategy in the primary health care settings.

  • COVID-19
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Logistic Models
  • Primary Health Care
  • Remote Consultation
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Telephone
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The Journal of the American Board of Family     Medicine: 36 (1)
The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine
Vol. 36, Issue 1
January/February 2023
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Telephonic Follow-up and the Risk of Death in Ambulatory Patients with COVID-19
Héctor Raúl Vargas-Sánchez, Juan Carlos Tomás-López, Verónica Álvarez-Medina, Luisa Estela Gil-Velázquez, Hortensia Vega-Vega, Alejandro Alarcón-López, Rafael Pérez-Villegas, Claudia María Carbajal-García, Eugenia del Rocío Rivera-Tello, Manuel Cervantes-Ocampo, Célida Duque-Molina, Iván de Jesús Ascencio-Montiel
The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine Feb 2023, 36 (1) 164-169; DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.2022.220214R1

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Telephonic Follow-up and the Risk of Death in Ambulatory Patients with COVID-19
Héctor Raúl Vargas-Sánchez, Juan Carlos Tomás-López, Verónica Álvarez-Medina, Luisa Estela Gil-Velázquez, Hortensia Vega-Vega, Alejandro Alarcón-López, Rafael Pérez-Villegas, Claudia María Carbajal-García, Eugenia del Rocío Rivera-Tello, Manuel Cervantes-Ocampo, Célida Duque-Molina, Iván de Jesús Ascencio-Montiel
The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine Feb 2023, 36 (1) 164-169; DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.2022.220214R1
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Keywords

  • COVID-19
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Logistic Models
  • Primary Health Care
  • Remote Consultation
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Telephone

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