Table 1.

Associations of General Practitioner Supplies with Breast Cancer 5-Year Survival among Women in Ontario Diagnosed Between 1995 and 1997 and Followed Until January 1, 2003

General Practitioner Supply PredictorRisk FactorPrevalence (%)Breast Cancer5-Year Survival(odds ratio [95% CI])
Provincial analysis of 17,829 breast cancer cases
    ≥7 per 10,000 in 2001<766.21.09 (0.98, 1.21)*
    ≥7.25 per 10,000 in 2001<7.2568.11.14 (1.01, 1.29)
Analysis of 10,745 cases outside the greater metropolitan Toronto area
    Decreased by ≥3 per 10,000 in 1991 and 200116.50.83 (0.68, 1.03)§
  • All effects were adjusted for patient age, census tract low-income prevalence, census division age distribution, distance from regional cancer centers, and obstetrician/gynecologist supplies. Total physician density did not enter the model. There were 10,291 and 10,122 active general practitioners in Ontario in 1991 and 2001, respectively.

  • * 90% confidence interval did not include the null (1.00–1.19; P < .10).

  • Sensitivity analyses revealed the most predictive criterion decrement.

  • Overrepresented by small to mid-sized cities with populations between 100,000 and 500,000.

  • § 90% CI did not include the null (0.70–0.99; P < .10).