Table 3.

Predictors of Wait Times for Primary Care Appointments for Medicaid Simulated Patients, by Medicaid Concentration

Bottom 25% (Low) Medicaid Beneficiary Concentration in CountyTop 25% (High) Medicaid Beneficiary Concentration in County
Coef. (95% CI)P ValueCoef. (95% CI)P > |t|
Hypertension−3.77 (−6.13, 1.42)0.002−1.98 (−3.61, −0.35)0.018
FQHC flag4.38 (0.22, 8.54)0.0395.46 (1.58, 9.35)0.006
ACO indicator−0.27 (−3.11, 2.58)0.8521.74 (−0.44, 3.91)0.117
IHS indicator7.66 (4.48, 10.84)<0.0013.86 (1.43, 6.28)0.002
HHI index−2.49 (−8.86, 3.89)0.4422.66 (−3.64, 8.96)0.406
Per capita income (in 1000s)0.052 (−0.31, 0.14)0.218−0.64 (−0.87, −0.42)<0.001
PCPs per 10,000−5.41 (−10.46, −0.36)0.0360.22 (−5.63, 6.07)0.941
ACPs per 10,0001.94 (−0.166, 5.54)0.2891.01 (−2.20, 4.23)0.535
FQHCs per 10000.01 (−3.46, 3.47)0.996−3.11 (−6.33, −0.12)0.059
Percent urban4.81 (−1.21, 10.84)0.1179.04 (2.87, 15.21)0.004
Quarter 23.08 (−3.60, 9.76)0.363−3.00 (−6.02, 0.019)0.051
Quarter 311.88 (1.09, 22.66)0.031−2.42 (−9.43, 4.60)0.497
Quarter 41.69 (−1.71, 5.09)0.3260.52 (−1.60, 2.64)0.628
2014−1.77 (−8.79, 5.26)0.6203.58 (0.22, 6.95)0.037
20161.77 (−1.01, 4.55)0.2101.06 (−1.24, 3.36)0.373
Intercept3.08 (−4.94, 11.09)0.44923.64 (15.80, 31.48)<0.001
Number of calls12171700
  • This table includes summary statistics of three waves of experimental data from a multiyear simulated patient study (2012, 2014, 2016), as separated by county-level Medicaid concentration data. Only Medicaid callers were included. The linear regressions include county-clustered standard errors and state fixed effects.

  • All P values are within groups (ie, they do not represent difference-in-difference significance between low and high concentration counties) and are derived from two separate regressions.

  • ACO, accountable care organization; ACPs, advanced care practitioners; CI, confidence interval; FQHC, Federally Qualified Health Center; HHI, Herfindahl-Hirschman Index; IHS, integrated health system; PCPs, primary care providers (MDs and DOs).