Table 3.

Positive Likelihood Ratios PPV in Percent of Cancer in Patients Presenting with an Alarm Symptom (1995 to 2014)

Alarm Symptoms by ICPCNumber of RFEsN Resulting CancerN Cancer OverallPPV (%)LR+Type of Cancer (N)
Breast lump, female4005915814.8204.86Female breast (59)
Postmenopausal bleeding38515423.9180.69Female genital* (15)
Hemoptysis22561002.781.89Bronchus/lung (6)
Rectal bleeding913241272.663.53Colon/rectum (24)
Hematuria69315332.2200.44Bladder (15)
Weight loss866184102.1Colon/rectum (4), Stomach (3), Bronchus/lung (3), Prostate (3), Kidney (2), Pancreas (2), unknown (1)
Nipple symptom18741582.1Female breast (4)
Swallowing problems3026712.0Stomach (3), Other malignant digestive neoplasm not stomach/colon/pancreas (3)
Change in feces/bowel movements43381271.844.30Colon/rectum (8)
Lump/swelling localized62831123291.816.48Skin (112)
Nevus/mole814153291.817.04Skin (15)
Prostate symptom/complaint3433870.9Prostate (3)
Urinary frequency/urgency (men)10076870.67.70Prostate (6)
Urinations problems other65331200.5Prostate (2), Bladder (1)
Voice symptom/complaint8043410.4Malignant neoplasm respiratory, other (not bronchus) (2), Hodgkin/lymphoma (1)
Skin texture symptom/complaint71633290.4Skin (3)
Weakness/tiredness, general5454183270.33.46Colon/rectum (8), Pancreas (3) Leukemia (2), Other malignant digestive neoplasm (2), Hodgkin/lymphoma (1), Malignant neoplasm respiratory, other (not bronchus) (1), Malignant neoplasm genital female not cervix, not breast (1), Unknown (1)
Shortness of breath/dyspnea4677123400.33.84Bronchus/lung (9), Leukemia (2), Hodgkin/lymphoma (1), Malignant neoplasm respiratory, other (not bronchus) (1), Female breast (1), Unknown (1)
Cough13749133580.11.96Bronchus/lung (9), Hodgkin/lymphoma (1), Other malignant digestive neoplasm not stomach/colon/pancreas (1), Female breast (1), Unknown (1)
Dysuria326921200.1Malignant neoplasm bladder (1), Prostate (1)
Intermenstrual bleeding1340
Postcoital bleeding590
  • * Malignant neoplasm of uterus.

  • For colon cancer.

  • Overall number of all types of cancer on the same row.

  • ICPC, International Classification of Primary Care; LR, likelihood ration; PPV, positive predictive value; RFE, reason for encounter.