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Research ArticleOriginal Article

A Systematic Review of the History and Physical Examination to Diagnose Influenza

Mark H. Ebell, Linda L. White and Tracy Casault
The Journal of the American Board of Family Practice January 2004, 17 (1) 1-5; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3122/jabfm.17.1.1
Mark H. Ebell
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Linda L. White
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Tracy Casault
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Article Figures & Data

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    Table 1.

    Design Characteristics of Included Studies (All Were Cohort and Independent, with Blinding Not Explicitly Stated)

    StudySettingInfluenzanPopulationReference StandardInclusion Criteria
    Nicholson et al 199710CommunityA or B291Mean age, 73 years; 51.8% female4× rise in titer for Influenza ARespiratory infection (over age 60)
    Carrat et al, 199712Primary care office and home visitA or B130Mean age, 33.2 years; 59% femaleFluorescent monoclonal antibodiesSuspected influenza (influenza-like illness, upper or lower respiratory tract infection, and/or fever >38 without other evidence of infection within 36 hours of onset)
    Carrat et al, 19999Primary care office and home visitsA600Mean age, 38 years; 58% femaleDIF and ELISA; 25% culture + PCRSuspected influenza (all patients over age 1 with ≥1 of the following: influenza-like illness, upper or lower respiratory tract infectious syndrome, and/or temp >38°C without any infectious signs or symptoms.)
    Monto et al, 199611Primary care officeA or B897NAViral culture or positive serologySuspected influenza (influenza-like illness with fever and cough or sore throat presenting between November and April)
    Lina et al, 199613Primary care officeA or B340NA (broad age range)Culture or ELISASuspected influenza; data not available for patients without positive viral nasal swab.
    Long et al, 199714Primary care officeA or B788Mean age, 76 in adults, 5 in childrenTissue culture, with ELISA to type the virusAdults over age 65 and children with respiratory or febrile illness in community medical and pediatric practices.
    Monto et al, 20008OutpatientA or B3744Mean age, 34.7 years; 52% female.Positive culture or ≥4× increase in influenza antibody titer in convalescent vs acute samplesSuspected influenza [fever (≥37.8°C; ≥37.2°C for patients ≥65 years in one study) or feverishness (subjective fever or chills) and 2 of the following: headache, myalgia, cough, or sore throat].
    • DIF, direct immunofluorescence; ELISA, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay; NA, not available

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    Table 2.

    Test Characteristics for Selected Signs and Symptoms

    VariablenSensSpecLR+LR−Weighted AUROCC
    Abdominal pain0.170.881.460.94
    Variables with LR+ >2.0 and/or LR− < 0.5
     Rigors (10)2910.160.987.160.86NA
     Fever and ≥3 days ill (age >65) (8)6770.400.904.030.67NA
     Sweating (10)2910.470.832.860.63NA
     Fever and cough >36 hours (8)37440.500.812.640.61NA
     Confined to bed (10)2910.630.742.450.50NA
     Smoker (10)2910.320.872.390.79NA
     Unable to cope with daily activities (10)2910.740.682.300.39NA
     Fever + cough + nasal congestion (8)37440.590.742.270.55NA
     Fever + cough + weakness (837440.600.722.100.56NA
     Any systemic symptom (10)2910.840.431.490.36NA
     Cough (8, 9, 11, 13)0.88 (0.72 to 0.96)0.32 (0.17 to 0.52)1.290.380.679
    Commonly measured variables with LR+ <2.0 and LR− >0.5
     Chills (9, 11)14970.83 (0.79 to 0.86)0.25 (0.22 to 0.27)1.110.68NA
     Subjective temp (8, 10, 11, 14)57200.68 (0.62 to 0.72)0.60 (0.43 to 0.75)1.70.530.672
     Objective temp (8, 9, 13)46840.70 (0.46 to 0.86)0.49 (0.29 to 0.69)1.370.610.653
     Headache (8, 9, 10, 11, 13)58720.77 (0.65 to 0.86)0.39 (0.23 to 0.58)1.260.590.606
     Myalgia (8, 10, 11, 13)52720.68 (0.57 to 0.77)0.47 (0.18 to 0.78)1.260.600.620
     Nasal congestion (8, 10, 11)49320.70 (0.56 to 0.81)0.42 (0.23 to 0.63)1.210.710.654
     Nasal secretions (purulent) (10, 13)6310.17 (0.04 to 0.48)0.79 (0.63 to 0.89)0.811.050.613
     No sneezing (9, 10)8910.56 (0.39 to 0.72)0.53 (0.31 to 0.74)1.190.830.555
     Not vaccinated (12, 14)9120.69 (0.19 to 0.96)0.30 (0.02 to 0.89)0.981.030.534
     Sore throat (8, 10, 11, 13)52720.68 (0.61 to 0.74)0.36 (0.26 to 0.47)1.060.890.558
     Sputum (9, 11)14970.36 (0.25 to 0.48)0.68 (0.43 to 0.86)1.130.940.450
    • NA, not applicable because there was only one study; n, number of patients; AUROCC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Additional Files

  • Tables
  • HTML Page - index.htslp

  • Supplemental Table. Complete Data for Meta-Analysis, Organized by Type of Influenza

    Supplemental Table. Complete Data for Meta-Analysis, Organized by Type of Influenza

    Files in this Data Supplement:

    • Adobe PDF - meta_analyses.pdf - Supplemental Table. Complete Data for Meta-Analysis, Organized by Type of Influenza
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The Journal of the American Board of Family Practice: 17 (1)
The Journal of the American Board of Family Practice
Vol. 17, Issue 1
1 Jan 2004
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A Systematic Review of the History and Physical Examination to Diagnose Influenza
Mark H. Ebell, Linda L. White, Tracy Casault
The Journal of the American Board of Family Practice Jan 2004, 17 (1) 1-5; DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.17.1.1

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A Systematic Review of the History and Physical Examination to Diagnose Influenza
Mark H. Ebell, Linda L. White, Tracy Casault
The Journal of the American Board of Family Practice Jan 2004, 17 (1) 1-5; DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.17.1.1
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