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Original Research |
Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City (JBS)
Department of Family Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada (TAP)
Galway Clinic, Ireland (PCB)
International Institute of Restorative Reproductive Medicine, London, United Kingdom (JBS, TAP, PCB)
Correspondence: Corresponding author: Dr. Joseph B. Stanford, MD, MSPH, University of Utah, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, 375 Chipeta Way, Suite A, Salt Lake City, UT 84108 (E-mail: joseph.stanford{at}utah.edu)
| Abstract |
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Methods: All couples receiving treatment from 2 NPT-trained family physicians between February 1998 and January 2002 were studied. The main outcome was live birth, and secondary outcomes included conceptions and multiple births. Crude proportions and adjusted life-table proportions were calculated per 100 couples.
Results: A total of 1239 couples had an initial consult for NPT, of which 1072 had been trying for at least a year to conceive and initiated treatment. The average female age was 35.8 years, the mean duration of attempting to conceive was 5.6 years, 24% had a prior birth, and 33% had previously attempted treatment with assisted reproductive technology (ART). All couples were taught to identify the fertile days of the menstrual cycle with the Creighton Model FertilityCare System, and most received additional medical treatment, including clomiphene (75%). In life-table analysis, the cumulative proportion of first live births for those completing up to 24 months of NPT treatment was 52.8 per 100 couples. The crude proportion was 25.5. Younger couples and couples without previous ART attempts had higher rates of live birth. Among live births, there were 4.6% twin births.
Conclusion: NPT provided by trained general practitioners had live birth rates comparable to cohort studies of more invasive treatments, including ART. Further studies are warranted to compare NPT directly to other treatments.
ART is expensive, invasive, and involves some risk to women. These include risks of the medical and surgical procedures to retrieve oocytes,4 including ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome.5 There are also concerns about short- and long-term outcomes for the offspring.6–9 The most prominent concerns relate to the incidence of multiple pregnancies with ART treatment and the subsequent perinatal complications, including low birth weight and prematurity.10–12 Increasing the availability of integrated primary methods for infertility treatment that can be effectively provided by a trained generalist physician with low risk to women and offspring would potentially improve access to care for couples dealing with infertility.
Natural procreative technology (NaProTechnology, NPT) is an integrated and systematic approach to infertility that is suitable for primary care settings. It is based on a detailed study of events that occur during ovulation and throughout the menstrual cycle.13,14 Abnormalities of the reproductive cycle are identified and corrected to the extent possible.15–18 Patients receive thorough education about their fertility and are taught to monitor biomarkers of their own fertility cycles. In the process, they become equal partners in their own evaluation and treatment.
A standardized NPT investigation usually results in the diagnosis of one or more abnormalities of reproductive function that are associated with infertility. Abnormalities commonly identified include decreased production of estrogenic cervical mucus, intermenstrual bleeding or spotting, short or variable luteal phases, and suboptimal levels of the ovarian hormones estrogen and progesterone.19 The physician trained in NPT then determines a course of treatment that aims to correct the underlying abnormality, with the goal of optimizing physiologic conditions for conception in vivo. Common interventions include induction or stimulation of ovulation20; medications to enhance cervical mucus production, including vitamin B6, guaifenesin, or one of several antibiotics21,22; and hormonal supplementation in the luteal phase.23 Doses of all medications are adjusted according to the response of biomarkers and serum levels of estrogen and progesterone measured in the midluteal phase.13,17 Concurrently, couples use their awareness of ovulation biomarkers to time acts of intercourse to maximize chances of conception.24 Ongoing evaluation and support during pregnancy often includes supplementation with human-identical progesterone, based on periodic measurement of progesterone levels, in an effort to reduce the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.25–28
Outcomes for NPT have been published previously for a cohort of infertility patients in a specialty practice at its place of development (Creighton University).29 This study was undertaken to assess the outcomes of NPT as applied by trained generalist physicians in Galway, Ireland. Although NPT has been developed with both medical and surgical protocols, this study evaluates the medical protocols. We focused on the clinically relevant outcomes of live birth and multiple births.
| Methods |
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Data for the NPT treatment cohort were collected from patients during their initial assessment visit and at subsequent follow-up visits and recorded in the routine medical record for the practice. Data from routine follow-up telephone contacts were also included in the medical records. The relevant data for this study were abstracted from medical records and entered into a computerized database, with manual verification of all entered data.
Patients were primarily self-referred couples experiencing difficulty conceiving and achieving a live birth. All patients from Ireland who presented between February 1998 and January 2002 (inclusive) and who proceeded beyond the initial explanatory consultation were eligible for inclusion in this study. Patients who had previously attempted ART (including in vitro fertilization and intracytoplasmic sperm injection) were also included. A few patients were advised after the initial consultation that they were not eligible for NPT, mostly because of azoospermia or menopause; these patients were not included in this analysis. We also excluded patients that had been trying for less than a year or who did not continue with the evaluation that was recommended at the initial consultation.
The NPT infertility treatment implemented in this clinic is a systematic multilevel investigation and treatment program.13 It begins with an initial consultation in which reproductive physiology and the various stages of NPT investigation and treatment are explained in detail to patients. They next learn specialized fertility tracking of daily observations of vaginal discharge biomarkers (bleeding and cervical fluid), according to the Creighton Model FertilityCare System.15,16,30 After patients gained competence in fertility tracking (no earlier than the second month), timed blood samples were taken with respect to the estimated time of ovulation as prospectively identified by the woman's own fertility chart.13,31 Reproductive hormones, including estradiol and progesterone, were measured and interpreted in the context of the woman's fertility tracking chart. Medications to correct identified hormonal abnormalities were prescribed after the completion of these investigations, usually in the fourth month. The goal was to optimize physiologic conditions for natural conception in each menstrual cycle, including mucus discharge quality, luteal hormone levels, ovulation, and the timing of intercourse. It often takes several cycles of treatment to reach optimal physiologic conditions. Once reached, there may still be some suboptimal cycles mixed with the optimal ones; for example, a cycle where intercourse does not occur during the fertile time. In addition, some patients conceive and subsequently experience a spontaneous abortion, after which they continue in the treatment program. Patients were advised that a total of up to 24 months may be required to complete an adequate trial of NPT to achieve pregnancy leading to a live birth. Evaluation and treatment of the male partner also took place during this time, as indicated. Hormonal assessment and support continued through pregnancy, as indicated.25 Although specialized NPT surgical treatment may also form part of the NPT program, it was not available in this clinic in this time frame. A more detailed discussion of the NPT approach to infertility is available elsewhere.13,19,32
Per-cycle pregnancy rates are not an appropriate outcome to assess for NPT because of the longitudinal and incremental nature of the NPT treatment program.33,34 Therefore, we chose a cohort approach with the couple, rather than the cycle, as the unit of analysis. The main analyses for this study were the cumulative proportion of couples experiencing a first live birth during discrete time periods after the beginning of treatment. For comparability with other reports of infertility outcomes, we assigned the time of this outcome as the time of conception leading to first live birth.35 Secondarily, we also analyzed the cumulative proportion of first conceptions and cumulative proportion of withdrawals. Life-table analysis was used to adjust for couples withdrawing from treatment, or that completed 24 months of NPT treatment without pregnancy. Among the live births, we analyzed the proportion of multiple births. Secondarily, we analyzed the proportion with low birth weight and prematurity.
The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Linacre Centre for Health care Ethics in London, and the Institutional Review Board for Human Subjects at the University of Utah. Because data were abstracted from usual clinical data sources and patient anonymity was maintained, there was no requirement for written informed consent of participants.
| Results |
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There were 354 clinically recognized conceptions within 24 months after starting NPT treatment, with cumulative crude proportions of live births of 19.1 per 100 couples up to 12 months, and 25.5 up to 24 months, as shown in Table 3. Adjusting for withdrawals from treatment and continuing treatment at the end of study follow-up, the cumulative proportion of first live births was 27.1 up to 12 months, and 52.8 at 24 months. The proportions with any conception (regardless of its outcome) were higher: 25.9 crude and 35.5 adjusted at 12 months, and 33.0 crude and 64.8 adjusted at 24 months. Of conceptions within 2 years leading to a live birth, 75% (205 of 273) occurred within 12 months and 93% (255 of 273) occurred within 18 months.
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| Discussion |
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We reported the outcome of conception because this is an intermediate outcome of interest to patients and because it is an outcome commonly reported in infertility literature. However, we focused on live birth as the major outcome for this study because live birth is the outcome that is most clinically meaningful for patients seeking treatment for infertility.36,37 Crude birth rates substantially underestimate the efficacy of treatment because of high drop-out rates that are found in most studies of infertility treatment; however, life-table analysis overestimates treatment efficacy because it assumes that those discontinuing treatment have the same prognosis as those continuing treatment, an assumption that may not be valid for infertility treatment.38,39 Thus, the "true" estimates for NPT success probably lie somewhere between the adjusted life-table estimates and the crude estimates that we have reported.
We believe our study can be considered to represent a "real world" effectiveness based on undifferentiated infertility categories because all patients who were eligible for treatment were included, as would normally occur in clinical practice. However, the population presenting in this study for NPT treatment may represent a more difficult group than would be normally seen even in some specialist ART clinics; 33% of those presenting for NPT treatment had previously attempted ART. In addition, the mean duration of time spent previously trying to conceive for this population was 5.6 years. Finally, this was a relatively older population of women, with a mean age at entry to treatment of just over 35 years. Each of these characteristics is a risk factor strongly associated with lower likelihood of conception.40–44 In comparison, a recent national Dutch cohort of 4928 women undergoing ART had an average age of 33.6 years and a mean duration of attempting conception of 3.6 years, with a 1-year cumulative probability of ongoing pregnancy of 45%.35 Importantly, the duration of time attempting conception in our study is greater than of all the studies with which we compare in the remaining discussion, and the mean age of the women in our study is also greater than most of them.
Comparison of these results to studies of other infertility treatments must be made tentatively, because results vary by location, diagnosis, and both identified and unidentified risk factors.45,46 Unfortunately, most data about infertility treatment outcomes are reported on a per-cycle basis, so pregnancy or birth rates may be biased by high rates of discontinuation of treatment, especially for cohorts that have liberal entrance criteria.33,38 However, some studies of infertility have used a cohort approach and can provide some benchmarks against which to evaluate our results, as detailed below.
Two cohort studies have demonstrated substantial rates of spontaneous conception in some patients with infertility, including a population-based study with a live birth rate of 40%40 and a referral clinic population with a live birth rate of 20%,41 both over 24 months. Both studies, however, included women with an average age of 29 and an average infertility duration of 2 and 3.5 years, respectively. Thus, the prognosis for spontaneous conception in these studies was substantially higher than for the patients in our study. None of the patients in the spontaneous conception studies had previously attempted ART, whereas 33% of the couples in our study had done so.
Another comparison of our results would be with population-based studies of infertility treatment. In a 1985 quasi population-based study, there was an overall conception rate of 48 per 100 couples for all causes of infertility after 2 years of treatment, adjusted by life-table analysis (treatments included ovulation induction, artificial insemination, hormonal treatment, and/or surgery).44 Again, the population in this study was much younger (women's mean age, 28 years) than our study; had a much lower duration of infertility before treatment (mean duration, 2.4 years); and excluded couples that had previously attempted ART. Closer to comparison with our study, the subgroup of women with unexplained infertility of 5 or more years duration had a 2-year adjusted pregnancy rate of approximately 30%, compared with 53% in our study.
How do these results compare to existing data for ART? The Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority's crude live birth rate for the year 2000 was 23.8 per 100 women,47 which is comparable to the crude live births of 22.7 in this study; but our results are for a longer time frame of up to 2 years. In the United States in 2000, registry data for ART indicated a 25.4% live birth rate per ART cycle initiated (excluding donor eggs or frozen embryos), but no data are available on the number of women treated or follow-up over time.37,48 Although more recent ART data are available, we have referenced 2000 data for comparability to the time frame during which the patients in this study were treated. Given the differences in time frames, the fact that women's characteristics and longitudinal outcomes cannot be extracted from registry data, and other dissimilarities, this comparison must only be exploratory.
Although life-table analysis is not possible with the existing registry data for ART, other studies have reported cumulative pregnancy or live birth rates in cohorts with multiple attempts at ART. These results varied from a low 32%49 to a range of 39% to 60%,38,50 to a high of 64.7%.39 In this last study the mean age of women was 32.8 years, the mean duration of infertility 3.6 years, and no couples had previously failed ART; all of this suggests that the patients studied had a better prognosis than patients in our study. In a recent population-based cohort of couples receiving ART in the Netherlands, the cumulative pregnancy rate at 1 year was 45%.35 Taken together, these results suggest that the overall success rates of treatment with NPT might be comparable to ART despite greater per-cycle pregnancy rates with ART. Although it may seem paradoxical that a treatment with a lower per-cycle pregnancy rate than ART may have a comparable cumulative rates of pregnancy or live birth, very similar results have also been found in randomized trials of ART versus other less invasive therapies for couples with unexplained infertility.51,52 A systematic Cochrane review concluded that there are insufficient data to establish that ART is any more effective than less intensive therapies for unexplained infertility.53
Multiple births are one of the most notable and important complications of ART as it is currently practiced.6,54 The proportion of live births of multiples was much lower in this NPT cohort (4.6%) than for ART treatment in the UK in 1998 to 1999 (27.1%).47,48 Although multiple birth rates from ART have dropped somewhat, they remain high in most settings, eg, 34% in the US in 2003.37,48 Longitudinal studies of long-term outcomes after NPT treatment are necessary to determine whether NPT treatment might have fewer long-term health risks for resulting children than ART.
A weakness of our study is that over half of patients withdrew from treatment before completing a full 24-month course of treatment. In comparison, in cohort studies of ART of up to 5 cycles in which cost was not an issue, dropout rates from treatment were 69% and 55%,38,39 and in a randomized trial of ART versus other treatments, the overall dropout rate was 45%.51 Thus, the dropout rates from treatment in our study are comparable to those of studies of other fertility treatments. Withdrawing from treatment affects pregnancy or live birth probabilities adjusted by life-table analysis but does not change the crude probabilities that we have reported for all outcomes. Crude probabilities include all couples in the analysis, treating those that dropped out of treatment as if they continued treatment, and therefore represent the most conservative estimate of treatment outcomes. Future studies should seek to minimize the withdrawal rates to the extent possible and to define the prognostic factors among those withdrawing to estimate the differential effect of dropout on adjusted probabilities of pregnancy or live birth.
We emphasize again that comparisons of the results of this study with other available data, as discussed above, are limited by many differences in methods and study populations. More recent studies of ART tend to show slight improvement of pregnancy rates in European countries over the past few years, where there is a strong tendency to transfer fewer embryos, and more substantial improvement in pregnancy rates in the United States, where multiple gestations also remain substantially more frequent than in Europe.55,56 It remains to be seen whether NPT pregnancy rates may improve with time as well.
| Conclusion |
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Large multicenter prospective studies are warranted to confirm these results, to explore further the characteristics associated with successful NPT treatment, and to directly compare NPT to other forms of infertility treatment.
| Notes |
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Prior presentation: Portions of this work have been presented at the North American Primary Care Research Conference, Vancouver, Canada, 21 October 2007.
Conflict of interest: none declared.
Received for publication October 30, 2007. Revision received April 11, 2008. Accepted for publication April 15, 2008.
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